证明正态分布样本统计量T=($\sum_{i}X_{i},\sum_i X_{i}^{2}$)在n≥2时不完备
Alright, let's walk through this proof step by step, starting with the core definition we need to work with.
First, let's recap the definition of a complete statistic (this is the key to our argument):
A statistic $T$ is complete if for every measurable function $g$, the condition $\mathbb{E}{\theta}[g(T)] = 0$ for all $\theta$ in the parameter space implies that $P{\theta}(g(T) = 0) = 1$ for all $\theta$.
In plain terms: to show $T$ is not complete, we just need to find a non-trivial measurable function $g(T)$ (one that isn't zero almost everywhere) such that its expectation is zero for every possible $\theta$.
Step 1: Construct the function $g(T)$ using the given hint
The problem gives us a critical clue: we know $\mathbb{E}{\theta}\left[2\left(\sum X_i\right)^2 - (n+1)\sum X_i^2\right] = 0$ for all $\theta$. Let's define our function directly from this expression:
$$g(T) = 2\left(\sum{i=1}^n X_i\right)^2 - (n+1)\sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2$$
Since $T = \left(\sum X_i, \sum X_i^2\right)$, $g(T)$ clearly only depends on our statistic $T$, so it's a valid function to use for our proof.
Step 2: Verify $\mathbb{E}_{\theta}[g(T)] = 0$ for all $\theta$
We can confirm this expectation is zero using basic properties of the normal distribution:
- For each $X_i \sim N(\theta, \theta^2)$, we have $\mathbb{E}[X_i] = \theta$, and $\mathbb{E}[X_i^2] = \text{Var}(X_i) + (\mathbb{E}[X_i])^2 = \theta^2 + \theta^2 = 2\theta^2$.
- For the sum $\sum X_i$, its expectation is $n\theta$, and its variance is $n\theta^2$, so $\mathbb{E}\left[\left(\sum X_i\right)^2\right] = \text{Var}\left(\sum X_i\right) + \left(\mathbb{E}\sum X_i\right)^2 = n\theta^2 + (n\theta)^2 = n(n+1)\theta^2$.
Calculating the expectation of $g(T)$:
\begin{align*} \mathbb{E}[g(T)] &= 2\mathbb{E}\left[\left(\sum X_i\right)^2\right] - (n+1)\mathbb{E}\left[\sum X_i^2\right] \\ &= 2 \cdot n(n+1)\theta^2 - (n+1) \cdot n \cdot 2\theta^2 \\ &= 2n(n+1)\theta^2 - 2n(n+1)\theta^2 \\ &= 0 \end{align*}
This holds for every $\theta$, so we've satisfied the first condition needed to disprove completeness.
Step 3: Show $g(T)$ is not zero almost everywhere
Now we need to prove that $g(T)$ isn't trivially zero (i.e., there exists some $\theta$ where $P_{\theta}(g(T) \neq 0) > 0$):
Take $\theta \neq 0$, and consider the case where all sample values equal $\theta$ (this has positive probability because the normal distribution has positive density at $\theta$). For this sample:
- $\sum X_i = n\theta$
- $\sum X_i^2 = n\theta^2$
Plugging these into $g(T)$:
$$g(T) = 2(n\theta)^2 - (n+1)n\theta^2 = 2n2\theta2 - n(n+1)\theta^2 = n\theta^2(n-1)$$
Since $n \ge 2$, $n-1 \ge 1$, so this value is non-zero (as long as $\theta \neq 0$). This means there's a positive-probability event where $g(T) \neq 0$, so $g(T)$ is not zero almost everywhere.
Conclusion
We've found a non-trivial function $g(T)$ such that $\mathbb{E}_{\theta}[g(T)] = 0$ for all $\theta$, but $g(T)$ isn't zero almost everywhere. By the definition of completeness, this means $T = \left(\sum X_i, \sum X_i^2\right)$ is not a complete statistic when $n \ge 2$.
内容的提问来源于stack exchange,提问作者Galois

